KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 62%
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.3K
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
63.0% / 67.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 29, 26, 12:00 AMJul 29, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes62%
Compare venues· Yes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 62% | 0pt | $2.3K | $1.5K | 22 minutes ago | |
 Limitless71% match · auto | Low | 66% | +4pt | $398.8 | $0 | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
10h
65.6%
34.4%
36 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$26.7K
24h Vol$398.8
LIMITLESSRules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 29, 2026 is above 7428.78, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
S&P price on Jul 29, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$33.3K7,525 or above: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
S&P price range on Jul 31, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
$21.2K7,450 to 7,474.9999: 10%KALSHI
KALSHIS&P price on Jul 29, 2026 at 10am EDT?
$19.7K7,435 or above: 75%KALSHI
KALSHI
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29?
$23.2KUp: 66%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29?
$16.1KUp: 66%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29?
$6.7KUp: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Ark Invest buys $12 million in SpaceX as it trims Block, Bullish and Robinhood holdingsThe Block
Bitcoin rises toward $64,000 as Korea's record chip crash leaves crypto untouchedCoindesk
TradFi perpetuals double to $2B on crypto exchanges: CryptoQuant reportCrypto News
Apple Overtakes Nvidia—Which Will Be Bigger by End of July?Decrypt
Robinhood stock tests $89 support before Q2 earningsCrypto News
Bitcoin lows pierce $63K as Asia chip-stock crash spreads to Wall StreetCointelegraphRules
If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on July 29, 2026 is above 7428.78, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.