KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability7,290 or above 98%Leader of 60 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$33.2K
Liquidity
$26.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 13.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 8:00 PMJul 29, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
7,525 or above8%
Volume trend
$33.2kJul 282d of dataJul 29
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Will Sep-26 S&P 500 Index Futures settle above $7,475 on July 29 2026? (ES) (Stock market) (Wall Street) (Equities) (CME)?
$4KYes: 35%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXActive in these topics
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If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on July 29, 2026 is above 7249.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on July 29, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 29, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on July 29, 2026 is above 7254.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.