KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability7,330 or above 98%Leader of 60 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$19.1K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
67.0% / 78.0%
Spread
11.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 8:00 PMJul 29, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
7,435 or above43%
Volume trend
$19.1kJul 282d of dataJul 29
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If the S&P 500 index value on Jul 29, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7249.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on July 29, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 29, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Jul 29, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7254.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.