S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29?

ExchangeDailyEquities12h

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

Up 65.3%

Market quality

76 / 100

High quality

24h Volume

$14.6K

Liquidity

$10.3K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

65.0% / 66.0%

Spread

1.0 pt

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jul 28, 26, 12:00 PMJul 29, 26, 8:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Up66%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, July 29, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, July 29, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

Volume trend

$14.6k

Jul 282d of dataJul 29

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MYRIAD

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Below 0.5T: 1%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, July 29, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 29?

ExchangeDailyEquities12h

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

Up 65.3%

Market quality

76 / 100

High quality

24h Volume

$14.6K

Liquidity

$10.3K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

65.0% / 66.0%

Spread

1.0 pt

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jul 28, 26, 12:00 PMJul 29, 26, 8:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Up66%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, July 29, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

Volume trend

$14.6k

Jul 282d of dataJul 29

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$5.9K

Up: 70%

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Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 29?

$240

Up: 55%

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S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily

$398.8

Yes: 65%

LIMITLESS

NYA (NYA) Up or Down on July 29?

Up: 50%

POLYMARKET

Which bubble bursts first?

$5.7

AI: 17.4%

MYRIAD

SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?

Below 0.5T: 1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$64,434.54+1.44%

EthereumETH$1,916.34+1.61%

SolanaSOL$74.02+0.83%

XRPXRP$1.09+2.78%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0707+0.40%

BNBBNB$570.61+0.96%

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Bybit Takes a Page From Web2 Loyalty Playbooks With Unified Galaxy RewardsBlockchain Reporter

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TradFi perpetuals double to $2B on crypto exchanges: CryptoQuant reportCrypto News

BitMEX sued for allegedly profiting from customer Bitcoin liquidationsCrypto News

Jito rolls out JTX self-custodial trading platform for Solana tokens and RWAsThe Block

Rules

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, July 29, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.