Target Price: $81.2316
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 53%
Yes 53%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$358.4
Open interest
$2K
Low open interestBid / Ask
52.0% / 53.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 days ago
StaleOct 27, 26, 6:30 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 6:45 PM UTC
Trends
Yes53%
No47%
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Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 4 decimal places.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.