KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 0 99%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$507.3
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
May 15, 26, 8:00 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
KalshiHow many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
KalshiHow many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
KalshiWhat named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
KalshiHow active will the 2026 Pacific hurricane season be?
Manifold MarketsAll-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If more than 0 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- If more than 1 hurricane of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 2 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 3 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+28.0pt52.5%
- 80° to 81°39.4%
- 82° to 83°-21.0pt4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $365.5K
- 24h Vol
- $346.7K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Philadelphia+83.0pt99%
- Miami+11.0pt99%
- Washington DC+10.0pt99%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $347.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+49.0pt52.4%
- 84° to 85°+21.0pt35.2%
- 86° to 87°-26.0pt9.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
- 67° to 68°+25.0pt76.2%
- 65° to 66°-8.0pt19.1%
- 69° to 70°-7.0pt1.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 23, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+23.0pt56.7%
- 82° to 83°+29.0pt38.1%
- 84° to 85°-1.0pt2.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 23, 2026?
- 65° to 66°+27.0pt62.9%
- 67° to 68°-11.0pt17.1%
- 63° to 64°-1.0pt16.2%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 24, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 23, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 23, 2026?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year??
- Kalshi prices Above 0 at 99% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year? resolve?
- How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year? is scheduled to resolve on December 1, 2026.
- How is How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If more than 0 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.