KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 0 82%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0.2
Liquidity
$266.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
58.0% / 62.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
May 15, 26, 8:00 PMDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 161%
Volume trend
$0.15Jul 1412d of dataJul 28
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Rules
If more than 0 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 1 hurricane of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 2 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 3 hurricanes of category 3 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.