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  3. Will the Hang Seng Index finish positive in June 2026?
Will the Hang Seng Index finish positive in June 2026?

Will the Hang Seng Index finish positive in June 2026?

One-OffEquitiesMacro & EconomyChina11d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 46%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.1

Liquidity

$0.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

36.0% / 65.0%

Spread

80.6%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jun 18, 26, 4:00 PMJun 30, 26, 9:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes46%

Rules

If the closing value of the Hang Seng Index on the last trading day of June 2026, as reported by the Source Agency, is strictly greater than its closing value on the last trading day of the immediately preceding month, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves on the natively published closing level of the Hang Seng Index as reported by the Source Agency, with no currency conversion. "Positive" means the closing level on the last trading day of June 2026 is strictly greater than the reference level; an unchanged or lower close resolves to No.
  • Both values are evaluated to two decimal places.
  • The last trading day is determined by the index's home-exchange calendar in its local time.
  • If the required closing data is not available by the Expiration Date, the market resolves to No.

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Rules

If the closing value of the Hang Seng Index on the last trading day of June 2026, as reported by the Source Agency, is strictly greater than its closing value on the last trading day of the immediately preceding month, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves on the natively published closing level of the Hang Seng Index as reported by the Source Agency, with no currency conversion. "Positive" means the closing level on the last trading day of June 2026 is strictly greater than the reference level; an unchanged or lower close resolves to No.
  • Both values are evaluated to two decimal places.
  • The last trading day is determined by the index's home-exchange calendar in its local time.
  • If the required closing data is not available by the Expiration Date, the market resolves to No.