KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDemocratic party 96%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$6.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
96.4% / 97.4%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jan 7, 26, 1:12 AMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic party97%
Compare venues· Democratic party
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall60% match · verified | Low | 94% | 0pt | $0 | $35.1K | 17 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 97% | +3pt | $0 | $6.6K | 17 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
VA-08 House Election Winner
0.5 pts3mo
94%
-0.5pt6%
0%
+5 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$15.3K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for VA-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for VA-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.3kJul 34d of dataJul 18
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If the House member sworn in for VA-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for VA-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.