KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityMaria Jukic 10%-3.1%
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$823.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
9.9% / 12.0%
Spread
21.2%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jan 7, 26, 1:10 AMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Maria Jukic10%
Compare venues· David Joyce
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall60% match · verified | High | 92% | — | $10.7K | $58.1K | 9 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 88% | — | $1K | $823.8 | 4 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
OH-14 House Election Winner
6.0%3mo
+6.0%92%
-4.8%8%
0%
+5 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$27.5K
24h Vol$10.7K
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for OH-14 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for OH-14 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.0kJul 122d of dataJul 13
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If the House member sworn in for OH-14 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for OH-14 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.