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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Middle East
  3. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)

10.0% (24h)Middle EastOne-Off
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Above 30 (99%)

Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, 3:33 PM

Winning Outcome

Above 30

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

28%

Surprise
Current implied probability
Above 40
Above 40 1%-10.0%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$620.6

Liquidity

$1.2K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 10 days ago

Stale
May 27, 26, 1:00 PMJun 2, 26, 1:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Above 4010%
Above 501%
Above 3099%
Above 2554%
Above 1591%
Above 2072%
Above 1099%
Above 1001%
Above 751%
Above 599%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 1Jun 2Jun 2
Outcome24hChance
Above 40
Above 40
-10.0%
1%
Above 50
Above 50
-2.0%
1%
Above 30
Above 30
+62.0%
99%
Above 25
Above 25
+39.0%
99%
Above 15
Above 15
+2.0%
99%
Above 20
Above 20
+10.0%
99%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.