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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Middle East
  3. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

6.0% (24h)Middle EastOne-Off3d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 30
Above 30 33%+6.0%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$147.2

Liquidity

$596.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

31.0% / 33.0%

Spread

6.5%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jun 8, 26, 5:00 PMJun 16, 26, 1:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 3033%

Rules

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Jun 8, 2026 to Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jun 8, 2026 to Jun 14, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Jun 8, 2026 to Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Jun 8, 2026 to Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Jun 8, 2026 to Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$63,905.30+0.20%EthereumETH$1,675.67+0.04%SolanaSOL$67.53+0.98%DogecoinDOGE$0.0876+1.04%XRPXRP$1.15+0.27%BNBBNB$605.69-0.11%

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Rules

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Jun 8, 2026 to Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jun 8, 2026 to Jun 14, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Jun 8, 2026 to Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Jun 8, 2026 to Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Jun 8, 2026 to Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.