KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
1.30001 or above · —
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Stored price
1.30001 or above 93%Leader of 6 outcomes
1.30001 or above 93%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$311.3
Open interest
$9.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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1.30001 or aboveSpread
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Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Sep 27, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 16, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · 1.30001 or above
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Nov 2026 temperature increase?
KalshiNovember 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
PolymarketOctober 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
PolymarketWill space industry completely collapse OR will global temperature increase so space travel is impossible before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Oct 31, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 31?
PolymarketRules
If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is above 1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Rules for each outcome
- 1.30001 or above
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is above 1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1.24 to 1.30
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is between 1.24-1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1.17 to 1.23
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is between 1.17-1.23, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1.03 to 1.09
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is between 1.03-1.09, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1.10 to 1.16
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is between 1.10-1.16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1.02999 or below
- If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is below 1.03, then the market resolves to Yes.