This market resolved: 74° to 75° (99%)
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, 11:33 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
74° to 75°
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability74° to 75° 95.2%+66.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$114.3K
Liquidity
$781.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 27 days ago
StaleJun 28, 26, 2:00 PMJun 30, 26, 8:00 AM
Probability Timeline
72° to 73°1%
70° to 71°1%
74° to 75°99%
78° or above1%
76° to 77°1%
69° or below1%
1%
1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· 74° to 75°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $114.3K | $781.7 | 27 days ago | |
 Polymarket92% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $2.1K | $0 | 26 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 29?
7.5 ptsClosed
Resolved
72-73°F (100%)
+65.0pt100%
-2.3pt0%
-7.5pt0%
+8 more outcomes
24 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$103.2K
24h Vol$2.1K
POLYMARKETRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 29, 2026, is less than 70° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 29, 2026, is less than 70° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.