KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability98° to 99° 42.2%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$991.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
24.0% / 29.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 29, 26, 2:00 PMJul 31, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
97° or below28%
Volume trend
$1.7kJul 292d of dataJul 30
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Antonio for Jul 30, 2026, is less than 98° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISAT can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=ewx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Antonio" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.