KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 74° to 75° (99%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 12:11 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 11:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
76° to 77°1%
74° to 75°99%
78° to 79°4%
72° to 73°25%
71° or below15%
80° or above2%
Won
Before close: 99% ·
Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Rules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis (CLIMSP) for Sep 16, 2026, is less than 72° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
