Current implied probability
95° or below 73.3%+44.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$24.2K
Liquidity
$17K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
74.0% / 75.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 26, 26, 2:00 PMJul 28, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
95° or below74%
Volume trend
$24.2kJul 262d of dataJul 27
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If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Jul 27, 2026, is less than 96° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Houston-Hobby, TX" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.