Current implied probability
85° or above 10%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 6.0%
Spread
50.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 5, 26, 2:00 PMJul 7, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
85° or above10%
Related Markets
Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Jul 5, 2026?
$22.9K89° to 90°: 7%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 5, 2026?
$155.8K78° or above: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 5, 2026?
$54.4K89° to 90°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 6?
$48.4K26°C: 38%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6?
$40.5K31°C: 36%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in London on July 6?
$35.8K31°C: 40%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Together AI Raises $800M Series C for Open-Source AI PushBlockchain.News
NVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.News
NVIDIA Adds Vulkan Descriptor Heaps Support, Boosting GPU PerformanceBlockchain.News
Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta is working on a points-based prediction market app: reportCrypto News
AI chipmaker Cerebras down 11% after first public earnings reportCoindesk
Meta is developing a prediction market app called ‘Arena’ as sector booms: NYTCoindeskRules
If the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport for July 06, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 77°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport for July 06, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 77-78°, then the market resolves to Yes.