Current implied probability
89° to 90° 14%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$26.3K
Liquidity
$18.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
16.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 4, 26, 2:00 PMJul 6, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
89° to 90°14%
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Miami on July 5?
5.0%12m
-4.5%54%
+10.9%22%
-5.0%20%
+8 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$47K
24h Vol$28.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 05, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 87°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 05, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 87-88°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 05, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 87°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 05, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 87-88°, then the market resolves to Yes.