Current implied probability
89° to 90° 12%-7.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$20.3K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 12.0%
Spread
20.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 4, 26, 2:00 PMJul 6, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
89° to 90°12%
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If the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport for July 05, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 89°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport for July 05, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 89-90°, then the market resolves to Yes.