Current implied probability
78° or above 9%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$79.9K
Liquidity
$55.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
9.0% / 10.0%
Spread
11.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 4, 26, 2:00 PMJul 6, 26, 7:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
78° or above9%
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If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 05, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 70°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 05, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 70-71°, then the market resolves to Yes.