Current implied probability
89° or below 1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.3K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 2:00 PMJul 17, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
89° or below1%
Compare venues· 94° to 95°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall84% match · auto | High | 51% | — | $19.4K | $59.1K | 9 minutes ago | Open → |
 KalshiThis page | Low | 54% | — | $2.3K | $2.2K | 29 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Miami on July 16?
19h
51%
33%
13%
+8 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$19.4K
24h Vol$19.4K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 90°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 90-91°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 90°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for July 16, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 90-91°, then the market resolves to Yes.