KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability78° to 79° 56.7%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$22.9K
Liquidity
$19K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
58.0% / 59.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Jul 29, 26, 2:00 PMJul 31, 26, 7:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
78° to 79°59%
Volume trend
$22.9kJul 292d of dataJul 30
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If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 30, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 76°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 30, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 76-77°, then the market resolves to Yes.