KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability91° to 92° 37.3%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$969.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
39.0% / 40.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Jul 29, 26, 2:00 PMJul 31, 26, 6:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
93° to 94°39%
Compare venues· 91° to 92°
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 41% | — | $1.2K | $969.9 | 28 minutes ago | |
 PolymarketMost active84% match · auto | Medium | 50% | — | $14K | $55.2K | 8 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Highest temperature in Denver on July 30?
0.5 pts10h
+10.5pt49.5%
+0.5pt25.7%
-13.0pt13.9%
+8 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$14K
24h Vol$14K
POLYMARKETRules
If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 30, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 89°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 30, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 89-90°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.2kJul 292d of dataJul 30
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If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 30, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 89°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for July 30, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 89-90°, then the market resolves to Yes.