KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
81° or below · —
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Stored price
81° or below 41.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
81° or below 41.5%Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.6K
Open interest
$4.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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81° or belowSpread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 14, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · 81° or below
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 12, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 12, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 13, 2026?
KalshiRain in Chicago in Oct 2026?
KalshiWill the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceed 85 F on October 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceed 86 F on October 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 13, 2026, is less than 82° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- 81° or below
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 13, 2026, is less than 82° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 82° to 83°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 13, 2026, is between 82-83° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 84° to 85°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 13, 2026, is between 84-85° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 86° to 87°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 13, 2026, is between 86-87° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 88° to 89°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 13, 2026, is between 88-89° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 90° or above
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 13, 2026, is greater than 89° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
