KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (96%)
Resolved: Sep 21, 2026, 12:45 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
Yes 96%
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$98.3K
Liquidity
$30.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
95.0% / 95.7%
Spread
0.7 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 54 minutes ago
LaggingSep 21, 26, 12:30 PM UTCSep 21, 26, 12:45 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Yes96%
No4%
96%
4%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 21, 2026 at 8:45 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 8:30 AM EDT on September 21, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Open markets
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+32 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.8M
- 24h Vol
- $252.7K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 21, 2026?
- Above $89.49+2.0pt98%
- Above $89.99-2.0pt96%
- Above $91.49-2.0pt92%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+5.0pt37%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+5.0pt31%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+2.5pt10%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt12%
- November 30+3.0pt9%
- October 31+0.5pt3%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIBrent crude oil price on September 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $94.50-3.0pt92%
- Above $94-8.0pt91%
- Above $95-6.0pt87%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETCrude Oil all time high by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt12%
- May 31-0.4pt0%
- June 300%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
- Gold price on September 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 22, 2026?
- What will JB Pritzker say during CBS Mornings?
- Silver price on September 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 25, 2026?
- EV commodity prices on Sep 21, 2026
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 21?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Gold 15 min · $4,355.43 target?
- Kalshi prices Yes at 96% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Gold 15 min · $4,355.43 target resolve?
- Gold 15 min · $4,355.43 target is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026.
- How is Gold 15 min · $4,355.43 target settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 21, 2026 at 8:45 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 8:30 AM EDT on September 21, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.