KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (32%)
Resolved: Sep 18, 2026, 5:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
No 68%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$125.1K
Liquidity
$55.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
31.0% / 32.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleSep 18, 26, 5:15 PM UTCSep 18, 26, 5:30 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Yes32%
No68%
68%
32%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 1:15 PM EDT on September 18, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Open markets
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+31 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.2M
- 24h Vol
- $542.9K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.200099%
- Above 4.240099%
- Above 4.360099%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $635.6K
- 24h Vol
- $354K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- Above $93.99+8.0pt99%
- Above $93.49+6.0pt99%
- Above $95.49+22.0pt98%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIGold 15 min · $4,392.22 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Total Vol
- $169.2K
- 24h Vol
- $133K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 18, 2026?
- $95.00 to $95.99+63.0pt75%
- $96.00 to $96.99+10.0pt27%
- $97.00 to $97.99-13.0pt4%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+8.0pt24.6%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt20.9%
- Before Oct 1, 202720%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8M
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- California gas prices tomorrow
- US gas prices tomorrow
- Gold price on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Brent crude oil price on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Natural gas price on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Georgia gas prices tomorrow
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Copper price on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Gold 15 min · $4,385.57 target?
- Kalshi prices No at 68% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does Gold 15 min · $4,385.57 target resolve?
- Gold 15 min · $4,385.57 target is scheduled to resolve on September 18, 2026.
- How is Gold 15 min · $4,385.57 target settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 1:15 PM EDT on September 18, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.