KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (30%)
Resolved: Sep 10, 2026, 10:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
No 70%
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$44.1K
Liquidity
$11.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
28.0% / 29.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 10:00 AM UTCSep 10, 26, 10:15 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Yes30%
No70%
70%
30%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 10, 2026 at 6:15 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 6:00 AM EDT on September 10, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Open markets
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↑ $95+14.9pt100%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- 24h Vol
- $368.5K
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt30%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-4.0pt22%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 3110%
- November 30-1.5pt5%
- October 31-1.2pt3%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 10, 2026?
- Above $91.49+13.0pt99%
- Above $90.99+9.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+6.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.060099%
- Above 4.2200+18.0pt99%
- Above 3.980099%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $235.3K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- $96.00 to $96.99+5.0pt14%
- $95.00 to $95.99+2.0pt14%
- $94.00 to $94.9913%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $240.5K
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Port of Mobile container volume in 2026
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Brent crude oil price on September 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Diesel prices this week
- Copper price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Copper price on September 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- How high will WTI oil get by Sep 30, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Gold 15 min · $4,394.24 target?
- Kalshi prices No at 70% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Gold 15 min · $4,394.24 target resolve?
- Gold 15 min · $4,394.24 target is scheduled to resolve on September 10, 2026.
- How is Gold 15 min · $4,394.24 target settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Sep 10, 2026 at 6:15 AM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 6:00 AM EDT on September 10, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.