KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (89%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 7:00 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 6:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Yes 89%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$39.9K
Liquidity
$24.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
89.0% / 90.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleAug 21, 26, 6:45 PMAug 21, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes89%
No11%
89%
11%
Rules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Aug 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 2:45 PM EDT on August 21, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Gold 15 min · $4,620.83 target?
- Kalshi prices Yes at 89% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Gold 15 min · $4,620.83 target resolve?
- Gold 15 min · $4,620.83 target is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2026.
- How is Gold 15 min · $4,620.83 target settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on Aug 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth GOLD candlestick at 2:45 PM EDT on August 21, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
