KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 1.13200 to 1.13399 (8%)
Resolved: Sep 29, 2026, 2:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 29, 2026, 1:58 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
1.15000 or above1%
1.12399 or below1%
1.13400 to 1.1359998%
1.13200 to 1.133998%
1.13600 to 1.137991%
1.13800 to 1.1399922%
1.12800 to 1.129990%
1.13000 to 1.131998%
1.14400 to 1.145990%
1.14200 to 1.143995%
1.14000 to 1.1419910%
1.14600 to 1.147992%
1.12400 to 1.125992%
1.12600 to 1.127990%
1.14800 to 1.149992%
1.13400 to 1.13599Lost
1.13200 to 1.13399Won
1.15000 or aboveLost
1.12399 or belowLost
1.13600 to 1.13799Lost
1.13800 to 1.13999Lost
1.12800 to 1.12999Lost
1.13000 to 1.13199Lost
1.14400 to 1.14599Lost
1.14200 to 1.14399Lost
1.14000 to 1.14199Lost
1.14600 to 1.14799Lost
1.12400 to 1.12599Lost
1.12600 to 1.12799Lost
1.14800 to 1.14999Lost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for September 29, 2026 is below 1.12400 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ICE
- If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for September 29, 2026 is between 1.12400-1.12599 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for September 29, 2026 is between 1.12600-1.12799 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for September 29, 2026 is between 1.12800-1.12999 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for September 29, 2026 is between 1.13000-1.13199 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the open price of the Euro/Dollar for September 29, 2026 is between 1.13200-1.13399 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.