KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 85%
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$110
Liquidity
$9.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
14.0% / 16.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jan 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Justin Trudeau and Katy Perry announces they are engaged by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Justin Trudeau and Katy Perry announces they are engaged by EOY 2026?
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KalshiJustin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?
PolymarketWill Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau are reported to be engaged to be married before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
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- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
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- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau: Engaged in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau: Engaged in 2026? resolve?
- Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau: Engaged in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau: Engaged in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau are reported to be engaged to be married before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau: Engaged in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.