KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 126 81%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$210
Liquidity
$810
Low liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 8:00 PMSep 7, 26, 2:29 AM
Trends
0%
Rules
If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Disney+ App Downloads was equal to the same month last year.
- Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.
Open markets
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIHow many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- above 13,500,000-2.0pt95%
- above 13,750,000-4.0pt89%
- above 14,000,00084%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.7K
- 24h Vol
- $26.3K
KALSHITelevisionStats: #1 ABC Show on Aug 29, 2026
- Grey's Anatomy1%
- Modern Family1%
- Nashville1%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17K
- 24h Vol
- $17K
KALSHI#2 US Netflix Movie this week?
- The Whisper Man+66.0pt77.8%
- Facing El Chapo-44.0pt9.1%
- Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse4%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHITelevisionStats: #1 Disney+ Show on Aug 27, 2026
- X-Men '97+80.0pt97%
- Loki-71.0pt11%
- VisionQuest-3.0pt1%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHITelevisionStats: #1 Movie on Aug 29, 2026
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
- The Odyssey2%
- The Dog Stars2%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $14.3K
- 24h Vol
- $14.3K
KALSHITop US Netflix Movie this week?
- The Whisper Man-55.0pt22%
- Facing El Chapo-10.0pt5%
- Don't Say Good Luck1%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27K
- TelevisionStats: #1 ABC Show on Aug 27, 2026
- TelevisionStats: #1 Paramount+ Show on Aug 27, 2026
- #2 US Netflix Show this week?
- Peacock App Downloads in August
- # Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 24-30)
- TelevisionStats: #1 TV Show on Aug 28, 2026
- Hulu App Downloads in August
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
- Will Shrek 5 be delayed?
- Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi
- TelevisionStats: #1 NBC Show on Aug 28, 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Disney+ App Downloads in August?
- Kalshi prices Above 126 at 81% as of August 28, 2026.
- When does Disney+ App Downloads in August resolve?
- Disney+ App Downloads in August is scheduled to resolve on September 7, 2026.
- How is Disney+ App Downloads in August settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Carbon Arc Disney+ App Downloads (August 2026) for August 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.