KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 3:16 AM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 3:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 1.5 goals 95%+46.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 1.5 goals 95%+46.0ptMarket quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$45.3K
Open interest
$40.2K
High open interestSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleOct 21, 26, 2:06 AM UTCOct 22, 26, 5:20 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 1.5 goals95%
Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 2.5 goals12%
Jaguares wins by more than 1.5 goals3%
Jaguares wins by more than 2.5 goals1%
Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 3.5 goals2%
Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 1.5 goals95%
Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 2.5 goals12%
Jaguares wins by more than 1.5 goals3%
Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 3.5 goals2%
Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 4.5 goals1%
Jaguares wins by more than 2.5 goals1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
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Rules for each outcome
- Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 1.5 goals
- If Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Independ. Santa Fe vs Jaguares professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 2.5 goals
- If Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Independ. Santa Fe vs Jaguares professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jaguares wins by more than 1.5 goals
- If Jaguares wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Independ. Santa Fe vs Jaguares professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 3.5 goals
- If Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 3.5 goals in the Independ. Santa Fe vs Jaguares professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 4.5 goals
- If Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 4.5 goals in the Independ. Santa Fe vs Jaguares professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jaguares wins by more than 2.5 goals
- If Jaguares wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Independ. Santa Fe vs Jaguares professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.