KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Oct 1, 2026 30%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$3.1
Low liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces sanctions on a Chinese bank the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Controlthe Financial Crimes Enforcement Network
- A Chinese bank means an institution holding a banking licence from China's National Financial Regulatory Administration or from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
- A designation naming only a subsidiary, branch, affiliate or parent counts only if the licensed bank itself is named, and one qualifying bank is sufficient.
- Adding a qualifying bank to the SDN List or the CAPTA List, or a FinCEN final rule imposing a Section 311 special measure on one, resolves the market to YES.
- The stated reason for the designation is irrelevant, and a later delisting does not reverse a resolution already made.
- A threat or reported plan, a civil penalty over past conduct, addition to the Commerce Entity List, sanctions by another government, or designation of a Chinese entity that is not a licensed bank, such as a payment processor, exchange house, refinery or trading firm, do NOT resolve the market to Yes.
Open markets
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Fcerablo
- ABLO+10.0pt72.5%
- FCER-14.0pt27.6%
- Total Vol
- $3.4M
- 24h Vol
- $3.4M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Wtamatch WUSO 26 Nosaeryb
- ERYB+27.0pt81.2%
- NOSA-26.0pt18.8%
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
- 72,000+0.6pt100%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $78,100 or above99%
- $75,300 or above99%
- $78,000 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $245.4K
- 24h Vol
- $211.7K
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ageabvan
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Kkhaltie
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Ijovcgau
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Azveldar
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank??
- Kalshi prices Before Oct 1, 2026 at 30% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank? resolve?
- Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces sanctions on a Chinese bank the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.