KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityMaintain current rate 88%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$16.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
86.0% / 87.0%
Spread
1.2%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jun 25, 26, 10:30 PMAug 6, 26, 6:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Maintain current rate88%
Compare venues· Maintain current rate
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall82% match · auto | High | 88% | — | $98.3 | $31.3K | 10 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | High | 88% | — | $1.5K | $16.6K | 10 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Bank of Mexico Decision in August?
0.2%10d
+0.2%88%
+0.9%10%
1%
+2 more outcomes
83 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$79K
24h Vol$98.3
POLYMARKETRules
If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Cut more than 50bps at August Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.5kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Cut more than 50bps at August Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).