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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. CA-52 primary: first place
CA-52 primary: first place

CA-52 primary: first place

One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Juan Vargas
Juan Vargas 94%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$27

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

94.0% / 100.0%

Spread

6.4%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Apr 18, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Juan Vargas94%

Rules

If Juan Vargas wins the the 2026 CA-52 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.
  • If Jeff Belle wins the the 2026 CA-52 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Deborah Rhodes wins the the 2026 CA-52 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$63,957.12+0.57%EthereumETH$1,718.22-0.38%SolanaSOL$73.09+2.19%DogecoinDOGE$0.0831-0.83%XRPXRP$1.14-0.48%BNBBNB$585.92-0.00%

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Rules

If Juan Vargas wins the the 2026 CA-52 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.
  • If Jeff Belle wins the the 2026 CA-52 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Deborah Rhodes wins the the 2026 CA-52 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.