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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. CA-42 primary: Who will advance?
CA-42 primary: Who will advance?

CA-42 primary: Who will advance?

4.1% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Brian Burley (100%)

Resolved: Jun 8, 2026, 3:07 PM

Winning Outcome

Brian Burley

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Brian Burley
Brian Burley 100%+4.1%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

32 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1.9

Liquidity

$1.1K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale
Apr 7, 26, 2:00 PMJun 8, 26, 2:37 PM

Probability Timeline

Noah Von Blom3%
Robert Garcia100%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 7Jun 8Jun 9Resolved
Outcome24hChance
Noah Von Blom
Noah Von Blom
-1.7%
3%
Brian Burley
Brian Burley
+4.1%
100%
Robert Garcia
Robert Garcia
100%
Long Pham
Long Pham
0%
Larisa Vermeulen
Larisa Vermeulen
0%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Robert Garcia advances in the 2026 CA-42 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates.
  • See full rules for details.
  • If Brian Burley advances in the 2026 CA-42 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Long Pham advances in the 2026 CA-42 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Larisa Vermeulen advances in the 2026 CA-42 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If Robert Garcia advances in the 2026 CA-42 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the advancing candidates.
  • See full rules for details.
  • If Brian Burley advances in the 2026 CA-42 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Long Pham advances in the 2026 CA-42 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Larisa Vermeulen advances in the 2026 CA-42 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.