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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. CA-40 primary: first place
CA-40 primary: first place

CA-40 primary: first place

One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Young Kim
Young Kim 1%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

32 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$11.7

Liquidity

$112.2

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 1.0%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Apr 18, 26, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Young Kim1%

Rules

If Ken Calvert wins the the 2026 CA-40 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.
  • If Francis Hoffman wins the the 2026 CA-40 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Claude Keissieh wins the the 2026 CA-40 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Joe Kerr wins the the 2026 CA-40 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Esther Kim Varet wins the the 2026 CA-40 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

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John Buffler: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,930.24+2.49%EthereumETH$1,661.54+2.08%SolanaSOL$65.48+2.87%DogecoinDOGE$0.0854+2.42%XRPXRP$1.12+1.32%BNBBNB$602.05+2.89%

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Rules

If Ken Calvert wins the the 2026 CA-40 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary.
  • If Francis Hoffman wins the the 2026 CA-40 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Claude Keissieh wins the the 2026 CA-40 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Joe Kerr wins the the 2026 CA-40 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Esther Kim Varet wins the the 2026 CA-40 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.