What are the current odds for How low will BTC get in October??

Kalshi prices Below $80,000.00 at 65% as of October 1, 2026.

When does How low will BTC get in October? resolve?

How low will BTC get in October? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current implied probability

Below $77,500.00 47%

Market line of 8 lines

Market quality

69 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$44.2K

Open interest

$44.2K

High open interest

Spread

3.0 pt

Moderate spread

Market data

Updated 16 minutes ago

Oct 1, 26, 4:10 AM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC

Outcome24hChance

Venue terms

Source: Kalshi

Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

What price will Bitcoin hit September 28-October 4?

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

BTC price on Oct 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

BTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Bitcoin above ___ on October 2?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Rules

If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $77500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Rules for each outcome

Below $80,000.00: If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $80000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Below $77,500.00: If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $77500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Below $75,000.00: If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $75000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Below $72,500.00: If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $72500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Below $70,000.00: If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $70000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Below $65,000.00: If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $65000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Below $67,500.00: If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $67500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Below $62,500.00: If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $62500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.