KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 90%
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$5.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 79.0%
Spread
75.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Feb 8, 26, 3:00 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the 12-month inflation rate in Brazil is below 4.00% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
Open markets
InflationKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%-1.0pt98%
- Above 3.3%98%
- Above 3.2%-2.0pt97%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $218.9K
- 24h Vol
- $83.4K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)+22.5pt63.7%
- 1 (25 bps)-22.0pt20.6%
- 3 (75 bps)+2.1pt13.7%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHICPI in September
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.2%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $142K
- 24h Vol
- $23.1K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike+10.5pt35.6%
- Hike–Hike–Hike+10.5pt25%
- Hike–Pause–Pause-3.5pt19.2%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIInflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+1.0pt95%
- Above 3.1%91%
- Above 3.2%+2.0pt83%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $24K
- I bond fixed rate in November 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- September Inflation US - Annual
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- CPI in October
- Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
- CPI core in September
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- September Inflation US - Monthly
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 90% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026? resolve?
- Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the 12-month inflation rate in Brazil is below 4.00% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.