KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 3:23 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 1:48 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Alexander Bublik -3.5 games 48%Leader of 3 outcomes
Alexander Bublik -3.5 games 48%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.6K
Open interest
$4.9K
Medium open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleOct 20, 26, 3:15 PM UTCOct 22, 26, 9:30 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Alexander Bublik -3.5 games48%
Alexander Bublik -6.5 games15%
Fabian Marozsan -1.5 games23%
Alexander Bublik -3.5 games48%
Fabian Marozsan -1.5 games22%
Alexander Bublik -6.5 games15%
Rules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- The following market refers to the Alexander Bublik vs Fabian Marozsan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Alexander Bublik -3.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Alexander Bublik across the full match is above 3.5 games in the Alexander Bublik vs Fabian Marozsan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fabian Marozsan -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Fabian Marozsan across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Alexander Bublik vs Fabian Marozsan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alexander Bublik -6.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Alexander Bublik across the full match is above 6.5 games in the Alexander Bublik vs Fabian Marozsan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
