KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Tommy Paul -3.5 games (99%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 9:37 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Tommy Paul -3.5 games
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 9:26 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Tommy Paul -3.5 games99%
Benjamin Bonzi -1.5 games23%
Tommy Paul -6.5 games2%
Tommy Paul -3.5 gamesWon
Tommy Paul -6.5 gamesLost
Benjamin Bonzi -1.5 gamesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the game differential in favor of Tommy Paul across the full match is above 3.5 games in the Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 16. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Tommy Paul -3.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Tommy Paul across the full match is above 3.5 games in the Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tommy Paul -6.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Tommy Paul across the full match is above 6.5 games in the Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Benjamin Bonzi -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Benjamin Bonzi across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
