KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Daniil Medvedev wins 2-1 (99%)
Resolved: Oct 25, 2026, 12:09 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Daniil Medvedev wins 2-1
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 11:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Daniil Medvedev wins 2-053%
Nikoloz Basilashvili wins 2-13%
Nikoloz Basilashvili wins 2-010%
Daniil Medvedev wins 2-199%
Daniil Medvedev wins 2-1Won
Nikoloz Basilashvili wins 2-1Lost
Daniil Medvedev wins 2-0Lost
Nikoloz Basilashvili wins 2-0Lost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Daniil Medvedev wins the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Final by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Final. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Daniil Medvedev wins 2-1
- If Daniil Medvedev wins the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Final by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nikoloz Basilashvili wins 2-1
- If Nikoloz Basilashvili wins the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Final by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Daniil Medvedev wins 2-0
- If Daniil Medvedev wins the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Final by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nikoloz Basilashvili wins 2-0
- If Nikoloz Basilashvili wins the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Final by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
