KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Tommy Paul wins 2-1 (85%)
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 3:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Tommy Paul wins 2-1
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 2:29 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Tommy Paul wins 2-052%
Tommy Paul wins 2-185%
Corentin Moutet wins 2-012%
Corentin Moutet wins 2-114%
Tommy Paul wins 2-1Won
Corentin Moutet wins 2-1Lost
Corentin Moutet wins 2-0Lost
Tommy Paul wins 2-0Lost
Rules
If Tommy Paul wins the Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Quarterfinal by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ATP
- The following market refers to the Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Quarterfinal. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Tommy Paul wins 2-1
- If Tommy Paul wins the Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Quarterfinal by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Corentin Moutet wins 2-1
- If Corentin Moutet wins the Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Quarterfinal by a set score of 2-1, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Corentin Moutet wins 2-0
- If Corentin Moutet wins the Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Quarterfinal by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tommy Paul wins 2-0
- If Tommy Paul wins the Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Quarterfinal by a set score of 2-0, then the market resolves to Yes.
