KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 4.1300 (92%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 11:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 7:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 4.145010%
Above 4.130087%
Above 4.135071%
Above 4.105093%
Above 4.110093%
Above 4.16501%
Above 4.17001%
Above 4.16008%
Above 4.15508%
Above 4.100093%
Above 4.115093%
Above 4.17501%
Above 4.120093%
Above 4.125083%
Above 4.15008%
Above 4.18001%
Above 4.140020%
Above 4.1050Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Above 4.1100Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Above 4.1000Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Above 4.1150Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Above 4.1200Lost
Before close: 99% ·
Above 4.1300Won
Before close: 92% ·
Above 4.1350Lost
Before close: 83% ·
Above 4.1250Lost
Before close: 96% ·
Above 4.1400Lost
Before close: 10% ·
Above 4.1450Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Above 4.1650Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Above 4.1700Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Above 4.1600Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Above 4.1550Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Above 4.1750Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Above 4.1500Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Above 4.1800Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in North Dakota's at-large district?
Manifold MarketsWhich Games will North Dakota State football win in the 2026 season?
Manifold MarketsWill Trygve Hammer win the North Dakota at-large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Julie Fedorchak win the North Dakota at-large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill North Dakota Measure 2 (free school breakfast and lunch) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill North Dakota Measure 1 (60% vote for constitutional amendments) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsRules
If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1300 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
Rules for each outcome
- Above 4.1050
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1050 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1100
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1100 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1000
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1000 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1150
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1150 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1200
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1200 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1300
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1300 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1350
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1350 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1250
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1250 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1400
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1400 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1450
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1450 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1650
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1650 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1700
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1700 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1600
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1600 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1550
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1550 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1750
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1750 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1500
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1500 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.1800
- If average regular gas prices for North Dakota are strictly greater than $4.1800 on Oct 21, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
