Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 15, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Liverpool 64.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Liverpool 64.5%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 20, 26, 7:00 PM UTCOct 22, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Villarreal vs Liverpool
- If Liverpool wins the UEFA Champions League match between Liverpool and Villarreal originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Liverpool vs Villarreal · Liverpool 66%
- Also available on Polymarket — Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF · Liverpool FC 65%
