GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 4:22 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
América 62.3%Leader of 3 outcomes
América 62.3%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$45.4
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Oct 26, 26, 1:05 AM UTCOct 26, 26, 9:05 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Pachuca vs América
- This market resolves to Yes if América wins the Liga MX match between América and Pachuca scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for América is 59%. The venue spread is about 3 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference América 59% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — América vs. Pachuca · América 59%
- Also available on Polymarket — CF América vs. CF Pachuca · CF América 62%