Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 1:36 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Reg Time: Toronto wins by more than 1.5 goals 25.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Reg Time: Toronto wins by more than 1.5 goals 25.5%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 10, 26, 5:00 PM UTCOct 11, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
What will the goal difference be?
- If Toronto FC beats CF Montréal by more than 1.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Toronto FC's goals minus CF Montréal's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).