KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Arsenal 70.6%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Arsenal 70.6%Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Open interest
$37.3K
High open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 26, 26, 12:35 AM UTCOct 12, 26, 11:30 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 0s (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Arsenal wins the Arsenal vs Leeds United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Arsenal vs Leeds United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Arsenal
- If Arsenal wins the Arsenal vs Leeds United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie
- If Tie is the result of the Arsenal vs Leeds United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Leeds United
- If Leeds United wins the Arsenal vs Leeds United professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Arsenal is 72%. The venue spread is about 5 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Arsenal 72% · 2 venues · 5 pt venue spread
- Also available on Gemini — Leeds vs Arsenal · Arsenal 71%
- Also available on Polymarket — Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC · Arsenal FC 70%
- Also available on Futuur — Arsenal vs. Leeds United · Arsenal 67%
