GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: UConn wins by more than 3.5 points (96%)
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 2:29 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
UConn wins by more than 3.5 points
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
UConn wins by more than 3.5 points78%
UConn wins by more than 5.5 points69.5%
UConn wins by more than 2.5 points82%
UConn wins by more than 4.5 points71.5%
UConn wins by more than 1.5 points84.5%
UConn wins by more than 13.5 points48.5%
UConn wins by more than 10.5 points55.5%
UConn wins by more than 14.5 points44.5%
UConn wins by more than 9.5 points59%
UConn wins by more than 20.5 points26%
UConn wins by more than 7.5 points96.5%
UConn wins by more than 15.5 points96.5%
UConn wins by more than 23.5 points5%
UConn wins by more than 24.5 points61%
UConn wins by more than 2.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 1.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 7.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 4.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 17.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 10.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 14.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 15.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 9.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 3.5 pointsWon
UConn wins by more than 13.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 16.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 5.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 11.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 6.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 24.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 21.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 20.5 pointsLost
UConn wins by more than 23.5 pointsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of UConn in the entire college football game between Massachusetts and UConn scheduled for 2026-10-23 at 6:00 p.m. CT is above 3.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (UConn's score minus Massachusetts's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).
