GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 28.1%Leader of 22 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$70
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 13, 26, 1:00 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Madrid Grand Prix Winner
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome is officially declared the winner of the Formula 1 Grand Prix originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (FIA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a driver forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
Open markets
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Madrid Grand Prix Winner?
- Gemini prices Andrea Kimi Antonelli at 28% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Madrid Grand Prix Winner resolve?
- Madrid Grand Prix Winner is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is Madrid Grand Prix Winner settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Madrid Grand Prix Winner